ISSUE 300                                                                                          June 23, 2025
"Hongmen Banquet"-Style National Security Briefing: Opposition Refuses to Attend
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President Lai Ching-te's national security briefing invitation fell through. The Kuomintang (KMT) and Taiwan People's Party (TPP) accuse political maneuvering to aid recall efforts, triggering political turmoil undermining cross-party trust.
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Reasons Behind the Breakdown of the National Security Briefing

 

Imagine this scene: In the morning, a photo of President Lai Ching-te shaking hands warmly with opposition Kuomintang (KMT) and Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) leaders before a national security briefing is broadcast across all media platforms. In the afternoon, Secretary-General Lin Yu-chang of the ruling Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) announced the “Three Arrows” for the grand recall campaign, with billboards erected nationwide and recall groups mobilized across the country.

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Taiwan's exports to the United States surpassed those to mainland China for the first time. Experts caution that it may be a short-term phenomenon and not indicative of a long-term trend.

Risks of Taiwan's Exports to the U.S. Surpassing Those to China

 

Last month, Taiwan’s exports to the United States surpassed those to mainland China. This number—and the event itself—is worth discussing. Although the figures appear significant, they are primarily influenced by short-term factors. Even if the United States were to replace the mainland as Taiwan’s top export destination, it’s still too early to say whether this is a cause for celebration or concern.

Featured Opinion
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The Democratic Progressive Party's (DPP) policy on revoking citizenship and restricting re-entry has sparked controversy. Scholars criticize it as an unconstitutional violation of human rights and a form of forced exile.

Lai Administration's Self-Contradictory Entry Backlist

 

Taiwanese teacher Chang Li-chi had his household registration revoked after applying for a mainland Chinese residence permit. Yet, the Mainland Affairs Council (MAC) only announced this policy in April—even though Chang’s permit had already expired in June of the previous year. Despite this, the MAC claimed the validity of the license was “not a consideration,” effectively rendering Chang a “stateless wanderer.” The MAC even warned that holding a “Chinese Border Tourism Passport” could also result in revocation of Taiwan residency—such a cold, bureaucratic declaration has led Chang to accuse the MAC of openly trampling on the Universal Declaration of Human Rights.

This Week in Taiwan
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The Central Election Commission announced that the recall cases against 24 KMT legislators have been validated, with voting scheduled for July 26.

June 15:

The International Trade Administration, Ministry of Economic Affairs, without prior notice, updated its strategic high-tech goods export entity control list, adding 601 entities allegedly involved in weapons proliferation activities. Mainland Chinese companies such as Huawei and SMIC were among those newly listed. According to regulations, domestic firms must obtain government approval to ship goods to these entities, which may affect Taiwan's supply chain.

 

June 15

Former President Ma Ying-jeou visited mainland China again, and for the first time, attended the Straits Forum. He stated that cross-strait relations hinges on public sentiment, emphasizing that Taiwan's people yearn for peace and cooperation. He argued that continued exchanges and understanding are vital to avoiding misjudgment. During the visit, he met with Wang Huning, member of the Chinese Communist Party's Politburo Standing Committee and chairman of the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference, who praised Ma's efforts to reduce cross-strait friction.

 

June 16

As the People's Liberation Army (PLA) approaches its centenary in 2027, U.S. military leaders have repeatedly warned that Beijing might seize the moment to attack Taiwan. However, former U.S. Pacific Commander Dennis Blair, who joined Taiwan's private war games, argued that 2027 is more a propaganda slogan than a turning point. He indicated that Taiwan's lack of real combat experience and insufficient training diversity, noting a lack of urgency compared to nations in similar defense situations.

 

June 17

The prototype of Taiwan's domestically built submarine Haikun conducted its first sea trial lasting over five hours but remaining on the surface. Originally scheduled for April, the delay had raised concerns. Nevertheless, the Navy affirmed that it still aims to complete sea trials by the end of September and hand over the vessel in November as planned.

 

June 17:

A national security briefing initiated by President Lai Ching-te for opposition party leaders fell through. Chairman Huang Kuo-chang of the Taiwan People's Party (TPP) and Chairman Eric Chu of the Kuomintang (KMT) declined the invitation, citing dissatisfaction with the all-closed-door format and the restriction to national security topics. Both parties expressed willingness to keep communication channels open for future dialogue. President Lai expressed regret over the breakdown.

 

June 19:

In 2019, Taichung's coal-fired power plant was penalized three times for exceeding coal usage limits. The penalties were later overturned by the Ministry of Environment, prompting the Taichung City Government to sue. The Taipei High Administrative Court ruled in the city's favor, stating that the Ministry cannot unilaterally overrule matters of local governance. This is one of several past disputes between Taichung and the central government over coal usage.

 

June 19: 

The Central Bank held its board meeting and, as expected, froze the discount rate for the fifth consecutive time, maintaining it at 2 percent. The annual gross domestic product (GDP) growth forecast remains at 3.05 percent.

 

Despite the New Taiwan dollar (NTD) appreciating over 10 percent this year, Governor Yang Chin-long of the Central Bank stated that the first quarter's depreciation was excessive and that the current appreciation is a correction. There are no plans to lower interest rates to curb the appreciation of the NTD.

 

June 20: 

The Central Election Commission announced that 24 KMT lawmakers will face confirmed recall cases, with votes scheduled for July 26. Over the weekend, the ruling and opposition camps clashed publicly for the first time over the mass recall issue. The Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) launched a nationwide mobilization in support of the recalls, while the KMT staged major counter-rallies across Taipei, New Taipei, and Keelung.

Published since 2019 by the Fair Winds Foundation and Association of Foreign Relations, Taiwan Weekly provides in-depth report and analysis of the major issues facing Taiwan.

The conclusions and recommendations of any Taiwan Weekly article are solely those of its author(s) and do not reflect the views of the institutions that publish the newsletter.


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