ISSUE 295                                                                                          May 19, 2025
Will Trump Betray Taiwan? 
● This Week in Taiwan: 
Other Important Events This Week 




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President Donald Trump spontaneously mentioned that negotiations with China are good for reunification and peace. Scholars are urging the Lai administration to heighten strategic vigilance and avoid being betrayed by the United States. 
Featured Editorial

Trump's Mention of "Unification and Peace" Not to be Taken lightly 

 

After the U.S.-China talks in Geneva concluded, President Donald Trump stated at a White House press conference that the discussions went smoothly, were mutually beneficial, and were "very conducive to unification and peace." The Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) administration seems to have been overly dismissive of this, relying on a rigid "assume the worst of the adversary" mindset—one that excludes many potential variables. It would be better to reassess the event itself and adopt a broader and more flexible approach in analyzing potential threats. 

Featured Editorial
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The discrepancy of narratives in interviews of President Lai by domestic and international media suggests policy contradictions and raises concerns. 

President Lai's Domestic and Foreign Media Interviews Contradictory

 

As President Lai Ching-te approaches his first anniversary in office, he has recently given a series of interviews to both domestic and international media to outline his key policies on economic affairs, diplomacy, and cross-strait relations. These interviews—including one published by Wealth magazine on May 7 and another by Nikkei on May 13—clearly aim to review his administration’s performance over the past year and set the tone for future policy direction. Paradoxically, however, President Lai's statements on Taiwan’s economic and industrial strategies differ significantly between the two interviews.

 

Featured Editorial
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On the first anniversary of taking office, President Lai's approval rating ahs dropped to 32 percent, while disapproval has reached 55 percent. 

President Lai's First Anniversary: Approval Ratings Plummet

 

​President Lai Ching-te will mark his first anniversary in office on May 20. According to the latest poll released by the TVBS Poll Center on May 15, only 32percent of respondents are satisfied with President Lai’s performance over the past year, while 55 percent are dissatisfied, and 13 percent expressed no opinion. Meanwhile, 38 percent of the public said they trust President Lai, compared to 55percent who do not. Confidence in his future governance has also declined, with only 38percent expressing confidence—a record low—while those lacking confidence rose to 57 percent, the highest to date. 

This Week in Taiwan
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Taiwan's nuclear power officially reached zero on May 17, ushering a "zero nuclear" era. Premier Cho Jung-tai stated that the Executive Yuan currently has no plans for extending the operation of nuclear power plants.

May 10:

The Gengsheng Party and New Party launched a "Support Mainland Spouses, Oppose Persecution" demonstration, calling on the government to stop political suppression, relax the requirements for submitting proof of loss of original nationality for mainland spouses, and allow a sworn affidavit as a substitute. They also demanded the immediate withdrawal of an administrative order requiring retroactive submission of proof of nationality loss. Mainland spouses who have settled in Taiwan for years were suddenly required to submit this document, overturning past government registration and implicit approval, amounting to political cleansing through legal means. 

 

May 11

The Executive Yuan recently modified the national demographic description on its official website, changing "Taiwan's registered population consists mostly of Han people, accounting for 96.4 percent of the total population" to "Taiwan's registered population includes 2.6 percent indigenous groups, 1.2 percent foreign residents, and the remaining 96.2 percent." This sparked heated debate online, with accusations of division and "de-Sinicization." The Executive Yuan claimed the revision aimed to promote ethnic equality, but scholars argued that it might create more social friction. 

 

May 12

Mainland China's State Council released white paper titled "China's National Security in the New Era," listing unification and territorial integrity as core interests, stating efforts to strengthen peaceful reunification but refusing to renounce the use of force. The paper firmly rejects the "Taiwan's status remains undecided" theory and asserts that United Nations Resolution 2758 is legally binding, denying Taiwan any basis or right to participate in the UN or other international organizations exclusively for sovereign states. The Mainland Affairs Council also published its first-quarter report, noting the mainland's ongoing efforts to solidify the international "One China" framework. 

 

May 13

Unit 2 of the Third Nuclear Power Plant is scheduled to shut down on May 17, marking Taiwan's transition into a "zero nuclear" era. The opposition rushed to pass amendments to the "Nuclear Reactor Facility Control Act," extending nuclear plant service life to 60 years. However, Premier Cho Jung-tai stated that the plant must be decommissioned as mandated, and any discussions on restarting operations would take at least three and a half years. The administration currently has no plans for an extension review. Cho also warned that if the opposition refuses to allocate funding to the Taiwan Power Company, household electricity rates might increase. While the government insists that new gas-fired plants will cover energy demands, media reports indicate U.S. officials have expressed concerns over Taiwan's future energy stability.

 

May 13:

In a White House briefing, President Donald Trump of the United States mentioned U.S.-China trade negotiations, stating that China's willingness to open markets would be good for "reification and peace." Although the Department of State and American Institute in Taiwan reaffirmed that U.S. policy towards Taiwan remains unchanged, and the Office of the President also clarified that Taiwan-related issues were not part of the trade talks. Nevertheless, Trump's remarks fueled speculation. 

 

May 14:

Minister of Education Cheng Ying-yao stated that while international exchanges are beneficial for students, exchanges with China are currently discouraged, and in some cases, outright banned. His remarks triggered backlash in academic circles, with critics arguing that Cheng, in his official capacity, is signaling the Lai administration's intention to halt cross-strait academic exchanges. Many believe academic collaboration should not be restricted by geography. 

 

May 15: 

The annual Straits Forum is set to take place in Fujian Province, mainland China, in June. The Mainland Affairs Council (MAC) warned that central government officials are prohibited from attending and, for the first time, advised local governments against approving participation. The MAC also announced investigations into artists who allegedly support China's military propaganda and elimination of Republic of China sovereignty. The National Security Bureau has identified over 40 local online media outlets suspected of cooperating with mainland Chinese influence efforts, forwarding intelligence to relevant authorities for action. 

 

May 15:

The South African government has ordered the Taipei Liaison Office in South Africa to be relocated from the capital city of Pretoria, with negotiations still ongoing. However, South Africa's Department of International Relations and Cooperation has already changed the address of the representative office from Pretoria to Johannesburg and removed Taiwan's representative from its website. The Ministry of Foreign Affairs stated that discussions are still underway, and the representative office continues normal operations.

Published since 2019 by the Fair Winds Foundation and Association of Foreign Relations, Taiwan Weekly provides in-depth report and analysis of the major issues facing Taiwan.

The conclusions and recommendations of any Taiwan Weekly article are solely those of its author(s) and do not reflect the views of the institutions that publish the newsletter.


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