ISSUE 287                                                                                                March 24, 2025
Lai Administration Unable to Suppress Skepticism
Towards the U.S.
● This Week in Taiwan: 
Other Important Events This Week 




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The United States and Russia are carving up Ukraine, but President Lai Ching-te remains unwaveringly loyal to U.S. President Donald Trump. is it foolishness or naivety?
Featured Editorial

"Abandon Taiwan" Narratives Surge in U.S.: Is Lai Still Riding on Trump's Coattails?

 

At the recent Yushan Forum held in Taipei, the event unexpectedly opened with narratives on skepticism towards the United States. Anders Fogh Rasmussen, former secretary-general of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) and former prime minister of Denmark, who spoke in front of President Lai Ching-te and Director Raymond Greene of the American Institute in Taiwan (AIT), did not hold back. He bluntly stated, "Under a Trump administration, the White House can no longer be relied upon." The U.S.-Europe alliance has increasingly become transactional, and President Donald Trump of the United States now views Washington, Beijing, and Moscow as the three global centers of power. He questioned, "How should Taiwan and Ukraine perceive this situation?" While Greene attempted a defense, his explanation was unconvincing.

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Since President Lai led the call to expand eastward, Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) officials have started essay contests, echoing the sentiment of the TSMC moving to the United States. Domestic reactions are mixed, with both concerns and optimism.

TSMC Forced to Move to the U.S.: Lai Administration Spins It as "Eastward Expansion"

 

After President Lai Ching-te called for an "Eastward Expansion" at the Yushan Forum, where skepticism towards the United States was pervasive, senior officials of the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) began competing in rhetoric. They mythologized the Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company’s (TSMC) investment in the United States as a grand conquest and natural expansion, while even Taiwan’s representative to the United States seemed more like an envoy assisting American interests. He agreed to TSMC’s most advanced chip production taking place in the United States, with progress already surpassing that of Taiwan. Amidst all the enthusiasm, no one discussed how to ensure Taiwan’s industrial roots remain strong or how to sustain private investment momentum. No wonder public opinion surveys indicate mixed feelings about TSMC’s move to the United States.

Featured Editorial
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Mainland Chinese spouse and Internet celebrity Liu Zhenya was deported for advocating reunification by military force, sparking discussions in Taiwan about freedom of speech, national security, and the plight of 400,000 mainland spouses.

Deportation of Mainland Spouses: Lai Administration Buries Freedom of Speech

 

Mainland Chinese spouse influencer Liu Zhenya was reported and ordered to leave Taiwan by the National Immigration Agency (NIA), Ministry of the Interior, for advocating on TikTok reunification by military force. Following this, two other mainland TikTok influencers, "Enqi" and "Xiaowei," were also investigated for similar remarks. This incident has sparked discussions on freedom of speech, national security, and the rights of 400,000 mainland spouses in Taiwan.

This Week in Taiwan
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The Central Bank announced a downward revision of this year's economic growth rate to 3.05 percent, citing persistent inflation trends and rising uncertainties from American trade policies.

March 16:

South Africa's Department of International Relations and Cooperation renamed the Taipei Liaison Office on its website to "Taipei Commercial Office" and moved it from a standalone listing to being categorized under international organizations. The Ministry of Foreign Affairs lodged a strong protest. The move by South Africa is interpreted as a significant step towards completing the relocation of Taiwan's representative office by the end of this month. In autumn last year, the South African government requested that the Taipei Liaison Office move out of its capital Pretoria, but negotiations remain unresolved.

 

 

March 16:

President Lai Ching-te referred to mainland China as a "foreign hostile force." When asked whether this statement alters the cross-strait status quo, the United States Department of State only noted Lai's "policy proposals" and directed media inquiries to President Lai's office.

As chairman of the ruling Democratic Progressive Party (DPP), President Lai reiterated during a DPP Central Executive Committee meeting that China is defined as a "foreign hostile force" under the Anti-Infiltration Act. He emphasized the need for more proactive measures to protect freedom, democracy, and Taiwan's way of life.

 

March 17: 

The People's Liberation Army (PLA) conducted two rounds of joint combat readiness patrols around the Taiwan Strait in the morning and afternoon, deploying over 60 aircraft and ships. Mao Ning, spokeswoman of mainland China's Ministry of Foreign Affairs, responded to media inquiries, stating that the military actions are a firm response to persistent support by external forces for Taiwan independence and a stern warning to pro-independence forces. The PLA indirectly announced military exercises near the Taiwan Strait.

The U.S. Department of State criticized China's blatant and irresponsible threats against Taiwan, questioning how it could claim to be a stabilizing force in a turbulent world. The use of the term "brazen" in response to the PLA drills was notable.

 

March 17:

Anders Fogh Rasmussen, former secretary-general of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) and former prime minister of Denmark, criticized the U.S. Trump administration during his opening speech at the Yushan Forum. He questioned how Taiwan and Ukraine should view Trump's foreign policy stance. President Lai and Director Raymond Greene of the American Institute in Taiwan (AIT) were in the audience. Greene responded that Trump's commitment to world peace is clear. The United States aims to end the war in Ukraine early and strengthen deterrence in the Indo-Pacific to avoid conflict.


March 19:

The Han Kuang No. 41 military exercise adopted the scenario of "possible PLA actions" against Taiwan in 2027" for the first time. Military experts noted the heightened sense of cross-strait tension. Minister of National Defense Wellington Koo told the media that the Han Kuang exercises are typically planned one to two years ahead to achieve high combat readiness. He also admitted that the transition time required for the PLA from training to combat is shorter than previously thought.


The year 2027 is a sensitive point for the Taiwan Strait, with three successive U.S. Indo-Pacific commanders suggesting that the PLA might take military action against Taiwan by then.

 

March 19: 

In an exclusive interview, U.S. President Donald Trump claimed that the Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company's (TSMC) investment in the United States would reach $200 billion, far exceeding the previously announced $165 billion, causing a market stir. TSMC responded modestly, sticking to its prior announcement.

 

Regarding rumors that TSMC might collaborate to rescue Intel, Minister Liu Chin-ching of the National Development Council, who is also a TSMC board member, stated in the Legislative Yuan that the board never discussed such a matter, comparing the scenario to mixing diesel and gasoline, which is difficult to burn together. Minister Liu also emphasized that TSMC's latest processes and critical technologies would only be implemented in Taiwan before being extended to the United States.

 

March 20:

The Central Bank announced that interest rates would remain unchanged and revised this year's economic growth forecast down to 3.05 percent. Governor Yang Chin-long explained the reasons: First, inflation remains controllable, with a gradual downward trend. Second, economic growth has cooled compared to last year, with increased uncertainties from American trade and economic policies. He also mentioned that unless economic growth is significantly downgraded, there are no conditions for easing, hinting that the likelihood of rate cuts this year is low.

 

March 20:

President Lai attended the annual Hsieh Nien Fan banquet of the American Chamber of Commerce in Taiwan. He stated that TSMC's expanded investment in the United States represents continued development of U.S.-Taiwan mutual prosperity, with more industries expected to follow suit. This demonstrates Taiwan's global strategy of expanding into the Americas. He also announced expanding procurement of American industrial and agricultural products, as well as natural gas.

Published since 2019 by the Fair Winds Foundation and Association of Foreign Relations, Taiwan Weekly provides in-depth report and analysis of the major issues facing Taiwan.

The conclusions and recommendations of any Taiwan Weekly article are solely those of its author(s) and do not reflect the views of the institutions that publish the newsletter.


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